Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.004762 0.005381 0.006086 0.006956 0.008012 0.009266 0.010891
2026-02-01 0.003774 0.004508 0.005414 0.006641 0.008298 0.010522 0.013854
2026-02-08 0.003199 0.003955 0.004937 0.006349 0.008403 0.011419 0.016482
2026-02-15 0.002924 0.003722 0.004807 0.006453 0.009019 0.013128 0.020894
2026-02-22 0.002646 0.003441 0.004557 0.006323 0.009227 0.014220 0.024675
2026-03-01 0.002406 0.003181 0.004300 0.006128 0.009274 0.015025 0.028241
2026-03-08 0.002221 0.002980 0.004101 0.005991 0.009380 0.015951 0.032529
2026-03-15 0.002133 0.002912 0.004094 0.006160 0.010057 0.018197 0.041476
2026-03-22 0.002070 0.002875 0.004128 0.006400 0.010918 0.021135 0.054904
2026-03-29 0.002023 0.002856 0.004187 0.006690 0.011942 0.024881 0.075466
2026-04-05 0.001916 0.002732 0.004059 0.006612 0.012161 0.026646 0.090687
2026-04-12 0.001821 0.002622 0.003943 0.006541 0.012383 0.028524 0.109726
2026-04-19 0.001708 0.002480 0.003772 0.006363 0.012375 0.029924 0.130777
2026-04-26 0.001590 0.002323 0.003563 0.006088 0.012089 0.030375 0.147835
2026-05-03 0.001486 0.002183 0.003373 0.005830 0.011796 0.030711 0.166153
2026-05-10 0.001440 0.002138 0.003352 0.005922 0.012438 0.034827 0.238908
2026-05-17 0.001371 0.002049 0.003241 0.005806 0.012492 0.036727 0.300851
2026-05-24 0.001300 0.001953 0.003110 0.005634 0.012351 0.037766 0.361380
2026-05-31 0.001241 0.001875 0.003008 0.005512 0.012336 0.039417 0.456283
2026-06-07 0.001219 0.001859 0.003023 0.005661 0.013177 0.045929 0.824191
2026-06-14 0.001204 0.001856 0.003062 0.005875 0.014292 0.055254 1.959404
2026-06-21 0.001194 0.001860 0.003116 0.006131 0.015650 0.068233 8.070578
2026-06-28 0.001152 0.001804 0.003044 0.006062 0.015839 0.073428 23.709813